Belarus in 2022: will a referendum on the Constitution change the situation?

Belarus in 2022: will a referendum on the Constitution change the situation?
Belarus in 2022: will a referendum on the Constitution change the situation?

According to some analysts, what has been happening in Belarus over the past year and a half even negates research axioms about regime change.

In the past, research has shown that democracy usually changes autocracy when it is mobilized by 3.5 percent. population of the country. In Belarus, even more people took to the streets in the summer of 2020, but Lukashenko seems to have a great sense of smell and, of course, behind Moscow, has withstood and continues to host the country.

“It simply came to our notice then. And such intuition can be more powerful than any theories – Lukashenko is always finding the Netherlands and taking advantage of the situation.

As a result, Belarus is becoming a major scientific question: why are the theories of the transition to democracy not working now? Sometimes peaceful mobilization is not enough, ” 15min said Maxim Milta, an associate analyst at the Center for Eastern European Studies.

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Belarus referendum Constitution change situation

 
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