What can you predict for 2022? | Romania | DW

What can you predict for 2022? | Romania | DW
What can you predict for 2022? | Romania | DW

A short reading of the headlines shows that the most notable personalities in the academic or university sphere, in the area of ​​culture or scientific research, rarely or not at all rush to make predictions about a future year.

On the other hand, people who do not seem to have blunted their elbows too much on school benches have filled the virtual space with prophecies of Phitya and resort to strange connotations, linking the change of governments or the rise in prices of potatoes with the “positioning of Jupiter under the sign Pisces ”(Sic).

Somewhere, in the middle, between the learned and the ignorant, stands the public opinion, in whose name the press expresses itself, often positioning itself close to the thinking of the simple citizen, but also educated with an average culture.

From this position, I try to manipulate the mechanisms of logic, looking for answers to questions that I ask myself. Therefore:

The first question: will the Ciuca government resist until the end of 2022, or will it risk having, in its turn, the fate of the Orban and Cîțu governments?

Logical answer. The government of the current coalition has, to its advantage, not only the good intentions of the component entities, but also a strong capital inflow, coming from generous EC sources and materialized through the much discussed PNRR.

Thus, the allocation of funds to all areas of the country, for works as useful as necessary, but not addressed in the past, has every chance to increase public confidence in the ability of the authorities to bring the Romanian national economy closer to the West. The Romanian’s dream: to have “a country like abroad”

But there is also the flip side: if the Romanian authorities will not be able to prepare the documentation in a timely manner, organize tenders and contract the works, then the EU authorities could act harshly, imposing sanctions, stopping funding and letting us boil in the juice. own. In such a scenario, of course, no government can stand up, whatever it may be.

Conclusion: The success of the PNRR is the key to the success of the new government.

The second question: Will the government be able to control the pandemic better than the authorities have done in the past, accused of lack of hospital places, lack of beds and ATI equipment, tragic fires, or failures in the public vaccination campaign?

Logical answer. The Minister of Health, a scientist, has convinced us more than once that the nuclear weapon of the anti-pandemic war is the green certificate. However, the Minister of Health is also a parliamentarian, specifically placed there to argue and convincingly support what he himself believes is correct.

The scientist who yesterday convinced us that, without the COVID certificate, it would mean going to war empty-handed, today leaves a bitter taste in the mouth of the Romanian, when he declares: “It is (certificate no. Red.) wanted to take it, even temporarily (…). It remains to be seen whether there will be a political decision in the next period leading to the adoption of such a document. “

I have all the respect for Dr. Rafila’s valuable past, but the statement of the politician Rafila disappoints me. Is that why a scientist has been put on the seat of parliament to see if there will be a political decision or not in a certain period?

I apologize to the illustrious researcher, but his statement gives the impression that, in the scientist’s fight with the semi-doctors, Mrs. Șoșoacă has already won the game, the victory is assumed by the comic couple Simion & Târziu and, from the seaside, IPS Teodosie , in his learned ignorance, confuses the teaspoon with the vaccine.

I would have expected, from the distinguished professor Dr. Rafila, to hear a different statement than the one in which it remains to be seen if there will be any political decision. But what about the microbiologist’s decision? Does the expert have less right than the politician to firmly and ruthlessly support his own decisions?

Coincidentally, I have before me a speech given by Professor Dr. Nicolae Iorga, on December 14, 1916, in front of the Romanian Parliament, moved to Iasi on the tragic days of the First World War. Even then, a crucial problem was posed: weak angelic politicians considered that Romania was defeated and took into account the issue of capitulation.

I’m afraid that keeping the proportions, giving up the vaccine, the COVID certificate or something like that sounds like a kind of capitulation to the terrible virus and the terrible pandemic. Deputy Iorga’s speech was so poignant, so emotional, convincing and fiery that it ended with – I quote from the document – “Prolonged applause, loud cheers”. Romania decided to continue the fight.

I wonder: in the matter of the COVID certificate, which even Mr. Rafila said was a life and death one for us, did he ever try to be so uplifting and convincing that the electrified audience would reward him with ” prolonged applause, live cheers ”?

Let me quote the last paragraph of the electrifying speech of the scientist Nicolae Iorga:

“Somewhere near here, in the woods of Vaslui, there is a beautiful little oak church, in which you would think that only the peasants from the neighborhood were included. In this little church, three hundred years ago, Vasile Lupu, driven out by the invaders, gathered with his family and all the boyars, and raised prayers to God every holiday day.

The time has passed, the Tartars are gone, (…) and on the land cleared of hordes, and today still, in the depths of the woods, stands the little oak church, depicting in it such a great teaching. She tells us today, when other hordes have invaded our borders and trampled on our holy land; in this corner where we have gathered, let us cherish the seed of faith, and we too will see the mist of foreign dominion disappear, and we will be able to say like Peter Rareș, son of Stephen, that we will be what we were again, and more than that (prolonged applause, loud cheers)”.

The speech was decisive. Romania continued to fight alongside its allies and ended the war, with the establishment of Greater Romania since then.

I think that if Professor Dr. Rafila had the enthusiasm and persuasive power of his counterpart a century ago, the COVID certificate would have been legislated long ago, and the defense against the enemy COVID would have been much stronger than the one groping today.

For Mr. Rafila’s role in Parliament is not to bow to the decisions of politics, but to bow to politics, to the arguments of the scientist.

The conclusion? We grope. No less bad than in the time of ministers Mihăilă, Voiculescu, Tătaru, Costache, Pintea, Bodog or others – some before the pandemic, but just as groping.

If the Minister of Health proves himself in the future and in politics to live up to his professional ranks, it is possible that we will control the virus. Otherwise, it is unlikely.

Third question: Will Florin Cîțu withstand the entire term as leader of the PNL?

You can read the full article HERE.

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